6 posts tagged Hispanic voters
So who are all these new Independent voters? Hispanics, Asian Americans, & Millennials are more likely to identify as Independents rather than Democrats or Republicans.
Check out our recent report on the new American Electorate to learn more.
Hispanics have played a crucial role in modern elections, owing to their sheer numbers and geographic concentration. Yet despite their rising political power, both Republicans and Democrats have tended to misrepresent Hispanic America.
Many Republicans view Hispanics as undocumented, poor, and unwilling to assimilate. But many Democrats emphasize immigration as the sole issue of importance to the community and assume Hispanics are liberals.
In her new report, Michelle Diggles debunks the common misperceptions on both sides and offers a more nuanced view of Hispanic voters in America.
If Republicans abandon their stereotypes or Democrats don’t do the necessary work to keep Hispanic voters in their column, we could easily see this community returning to the ranks of swing voters.
by Michelle Diggles,Third Way
The narrative of 2013 thus far has been the victory of pragmatism over dogmatic adherence to ideology, moderation and bipartisan compromise over extreme partisanship. Those on the Left may be tempted to view their victory in Virginia as a demographic inevitability, running up numbers with voters who are all but guaranteed to be Democrats for life. But buried within the polling are warning signs for Democrats and opportunities for Republicans.
Governor-elect Terry McAuliffe won the 18-29 year-old vote by a bare margin of 45% to 40%. A surprising 15% voted for Robert Sarvis, which marked the highest level of support the libertarian candidate received from any age group. By contrast, President Obama won 60% of younger voters in 2008 and 2012 in Virginia. But last night’s election proves that President Obama’s large margins of victory among younger voters cannot be assumed to simply transfer to other Democratic candidates. McAuliffe may have secured a plurality of the youth vote, but he was down 15 points from President Obama’s margin.
The last two presidential elections have left Republicans reeling and Democrats crowing. But can Democrats rely on demographic changes to consistently deliver them to power in future elections? Are Hispanics, Asians, and Millennials brand-loyal to the Democratic Party? Has an enduring liberal majority finally arrived?
Obscured within analyses of 2012 is a set of illusions about voters—illusions that could be dangerous and, if Democrats embrace them, could threaten the Party’s electoral prospects in the future.
At our Inside Politics press breakfast this morning, President Obama’s “Pollster General” Joel Benenson said Mitt Romney’s harsh immigration stands will hurt him with Hispanics, but that his biggest vulnerability is being out of touch with ordinary voters. Read more from the National Journal here.